Forecast of purchase prices for live pigs (July 7–13, 2025)

Prices

Analysts from the Meat Industry Association expect that during the week of July 7–13, 2025, the purchase price of live pigs for slaughter in Ukraine will remain at the level of UAH 93–94/kg .

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African Swine Fever – A Challenge and a Solution

ASF continues to cause serious damage to both small farms and large pig complexes — regardless of their level of biosecurity. Due to reluctance to apply vaccines and the spread of misinformation, around 2 million pigs were lost in 2024, resulting in billions of hryvnias in damages and a significant blow to the export potential of the industry.

However, international experience — particularly in Vietnam, the Philippines, and Indonesia — proves that ASF vaccination programs can be effective. For Ukraine, this underscores the need for an urgent implementation of such measures, coordination between producers and processors, and the launch of the “New Pig Farming of Ukraine” initiative, aimed at producing over 3 million tons of pork and generating up to €12 billion in added value annually (meatnews.com.ua).

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Global Price Trends Comparison

• Germany (VEZG Exchange, excl. VAT): top price – €1.95/kg (≈UAH 96.33), culled sows – €1.05/kg (≈UAH 51.87)
• Poland (Cennik Rolnicze): average price – PLN 6.17/kg (≈UAH 71.26); min – PLN 5.50/kg (~UAH 63.5), max – PLN 7.10/kg (~UAH 82)
• Global carcass prices:
  • EU: €2.17/kg (0% change)
  • Brazil: €1.66/kg (+2%)
  • USA: €2.08/kg (+2%)
  • Canada: €1.65/kg (+10%)
    

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Ukrainian Pork: Export Potential

Ukrainian pork is increasingly competitive on the global market, creating favorable conditions for industry growth and expanding export capabilities. However, regional differences in domestic purchase prices are largely due to the uneven distribution of production and processing capacities across the country.

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Association Commentary

Every week, analysts from the Meat Industry Association prepare forecasts for live pig purchase prices based on consumption data, supply and demand, seasonal trends, import dynamics, and exchange rate fluctuations. These reports provide important guidance for businesses in the industry.

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Summary

• Ukrainian prices remain stable, at UAH 93–94/kg.
• ASF remains a major threat, with 2 million pigs lost in 2024.
• Vaccination is key to industry recovery and export competitiveness.
• Global prices show steady demand: €1.65–2.17/kg.
• The “New Pig Farming of Ukraine” initiative could become a powerful economic driver — 3 million tons of pork, €12 billion in added value.

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